Uzbekistan Forecasts Economic Growth Around Seven Percent
Uzbekistan's Center for Economic Research and Reforms forecasts about 7% economic growth for the first quarter of 2026, announced March 18. The agency noted GDP rose 7.7% in 2025 and used a dynamic factors model and machine-learning analysis of 250 weekly Google Search indicators, which produced a 7.2% estimate. The report attributes growth to business activity, financial sector improvements, industrial production, and retail trade gains.
Key Points
- 1Forecasts indicate Uzbekistan GDP will grow about 7–7.2% year-on-year in Q1 2026.
- 2Uses dynamic factors model and machine-learning on 250 Google Search indicators for robust forecasting.
- 3Suggests business activity and financial sector improvements should guide investment and policy decisions.
Scoring Rationale
Official, ML-backed national forecast supports credibility and actionability; limited novelty and national scope constrain its wider impact.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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