Heritage Foundation Uses AI To Simulate China War

Heritage Foundation researchers released a 375-page report titled "TIDALWAVE" that uses artificial intelligence to simulate an extended U.S.-China conflict and identify vulnerabilities. The year-long study finds U.S. munitions could be exhausted in 35–40 days, estimates remediation would cost about $300 billion and take three to five years, and has briefed U.S. officials while redacting sensitive findings.
Key Points
- 1Finds U.S. munitions depleted within 35–40 days in prolonged Indo‑Pacific conflict simulation
- 2Reveals significant U.S. readiness gaps and exploitable vulnerabilities in joint logistics and sustainment
- 3Implies need for ~$300 billion, three–five year modernization and allied burden‑sharing to deter China
Scoring Rationale
Relevant, actionable simulation for national defense informs spending but relies on a single think‑tank study with redacted details.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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