China Drives Innovation Amid Geopolitical Fragmentation

As Lunar New Year arrives, Evan Due, executive fellow at the University of Calgary and senior advisor at the China Development Research Foundation, says the world is entering a more fragmented new normal shaped by geopolitical tensions and technological disruption. He points to China’s completion of its 14th Five-Year Plan and launch of the 15th as positioning Beijing to lead in clean energy, innovation, and multilateral cooperation. Due predicts AI and geopolitical pressures will drive major changes in the Year of the Fire Horse.
Key Points
- 1Identifies geopolitical fragmentation and technological disruption as driving a global 'new normal'.
- 2Notes China’s completion of the 14th Five-Year Plan and launch of the 15th positions it for leadership.
- 3Urges practitioners to track AI and energy-transition leadership for multilateral cooperation and investment implications.
Scoring Rationale
Broad, timely strategic outlook with industry-wide scope; limited by single-source commentary and shallow supporting detail.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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