Brooks Updates Predictions On AI Robotics And Space

Rodney Brooks publishes his eighth annual review of predictions made on January 1, 2018, assessing progress through early 2025 across self-driving cars, robotics and AI, and human spaceflight. He judges his forecasts broadly accurate but modestly optimistic, highlights SpaceX Falcon 9 reaching 582 launches with a sustained 38% annual rate, notes LLMs became the dominant 2023 development, and sets five new ten-year predictions.
Scoring Rationale
Informed expert synthesis with concrete data points, but primarily retrospective and not presenting novel research or actionable tools.
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