UAE Signals Continued Non-Oil Growth Into 2026
The UAE projects continued economic expansion into 2026, with the Central Bank forecasting real GDP growth of about 5.3% and inflation near 1.8%. Rate cuts from late 2025 may ease further, while credit growth, tourism, residential real estate, banking earnings, and AI investment underpin markets. Risks include oil-price declines, global slowdown, and elevated valuations that could pressure returns and execution.
Key Points
- 1Forecasts show UAE real GDP growth near 5.3% in 2026 with inflation around 1.8%.
- 2Diversification and non-oil expansion support resilience across banking, real estate, energy, and tech sectors.
- 3Encourage investors to favor banks, property-linked stocks, select energy and generative-AI infrastructure plays.
Scoring Rationale
Actionable UAE sector outlook with official central-bank forecasts boosts score; limited technical novelty and narrow geographic focus constrain broader impact.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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