Researchers from World Weather Attribution said on January 29, 2026 that human-caused climate change worsened torrential rains and floods across South Africa, Mozambique and Zimbabwe, killing more than 100 people and displacing over 300,000. The study found the region received a year's worth of rain in 10 days and estimated warming increased rainfall intensity by about 40 percent.
Key Points
- 1Quantifies that southern Africa received a year's rainfall in 10 days, causing over 100 deaths.
- 2Finds human-caused warming increased rainfall intensity by about 40 percent, amplifying extreme downpours.
- 3Signals need for locally developed African climate models to improve attribution and resilience planning.
Scoring Rationale
Strong peer-reviewed attribution and clear quantified impacts; limited by regional scope and remaining model uncertainty in exact magnitude.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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