Analysislabour marketinformal economysmesautomation
Pakistan Posts Moderate Economic Growth With Jobless Outcome
6.1
Pakistan's economy is projected to grow between 3 and 3.6 percent in the current fiscal year, above population growth of roughly 2.6 percent, but recent monsoon floods have weakened agriculture. Experts warn that despite 3.71% Q1 FY2026 growth, automation risks placing about 17% of jobs at high risk and a 35–40% informal economy means employment gains remain limited without urgent policy action.
Key Points
- 1Projecting 3–3.6% GDP growth in FY2026 despite population growth near 2.6%
- 2Highlighting monsoon floods and structural shifts that weaken agriculture and limit traditional job creation
- 3Urging urgent SME finance, labour‑intensive investment, and workforce upskilling to avoid social unrest
Scoring Rationale
Timely national growth and employment analysis; clear policy implications but limited novel evidence and granular data reduce impact.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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