Midmarket Firms Face Divergent 2026 Revenue Outlooks

PYMNTS Intelligence's Certainty Report (early 2026) finds U.S. mid-sized companies ($100M–$1B revenues) split into high- and low-uncertainty groups, affecting roughly 200,000 firms that account for about one-third of GDP. Survey shows 35% of high-uncertainty firms expect revenue declines in 2026 while 96% of low-uncertainty firms forecast growth, with goods producers and tech and financial services facing elevated uncertainty.
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