HSBC Predicts Big Tech Increases AI Capex

HSBC Global Investment Research said in its latest report that big tech firms—Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Oracle—will sharply raise capex as AI enters an early "megacycle", projecting $1.3 trillion in operating cash flow this year. The bank forecasts these firms will allocate 61% of cash flow to capex (up from 46% in 2025) and predicts $2.8 trillion group revenue in 2026, led by Nvidia.
Key Points
- 1Projects big tech to allocate 61% of operating cash flow to capex, up from 46% in 2025
- 2Highlights rapid LLM and agentic AI advances as the primary driver of sustained infrastructure investment
- 3Signals investors and practitioners to prioritize compute, chips, and cloud infrastructure exposure for growth
Scoring Rationale
Credible HSBC industry analysis with actionable forecasts, limited novelty beyond updated financial and allocation projections.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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