Fubon Projects 12 Million to 15 Million Google TPU v9 Chips by 2028

Fubon Research projects that Google could deploy 12 million to 15 million ninth-generation TPUs in 2028, according to reports by Tom's Hardware and TechSpot. The analyst estimate would put Google's annual custom-chip volume near Fubon's forecast of 12.4 million Nvidia data center GPUs, but Google has not confirmed the target or disclosed TPU v9 specifications.
Fubon Research projects that Google could deploy 12 million to 15 million ninth-generation TPUs in 2028, according to reports by Tom's Hardware and TechSpot. Fubon also estimates that Nvidia could ship 12.4 million data center AI GPUs that year.
The figures are analyst estimates, not production guidance from Google or Nvidia. Google has not confirmed the TPU target, and the available reports do not provide TPU v9 specifications, performance data, pricing, or a manufacturing allocation.
A four-die design would raise packaging demand
Tom's Hardware reported that Fubon's note describes TPU v9 as using four compute dies per processor. The note says the generation could more than double Google's associated capacity consumption in 2028 compared with 2027.
A multi-die accelerator depends on advanced packaging and high-bandwidth interconnects to combine its compute components. TechSpot reported that Fubon sees manufacturing capacity as a potential constraint and considers Intel Foundry a possible supplementary supplier if TSMC alone cannot meet the projected volume. That remains an analyst view rather than a confirmed Google sourcing plan.
Packaging choices also are not interchangeable. Designs built around Intel's EMIB technologies and TSMC's CoWoS-L approach have different physical and engineering requirements, so a second manufacturing route would require product-specific planning rather than a simple transfer of the same package.
Unit volume is not a performance comparison
The projection compares the number of Google-designed TPUs deployed by one hyperscaler with Nvidia accelerators sold across cloud providers, enterprises, and system vendors. It does not establish equivalent performance, market share, or delivered compute. Architecture, memory bandwidth, networking, numerical formats, software support, and workload mix all affect usable training and inference capacity.
For ML infrastructure teams, the useful signal is the possible scale of custom-silicon demand. If the forecast proves accurate, advanced packaging and foundry capacity would become central constraints on Google's 2028 accelerator build-out. Until Google provides a roadmap or production guidance, however, the 12 million to 15 million figure should be treated as a reported analyst projection rather than a committed deployment target.
Key Points
- 1Fubon projects 12 million to 15 million Google TPU v9 chips in 2028, but Google has not confirmed the target.
- 2The reported four-die design could more than double associated capacity consumption from 2027 and increase advanced-packaging demand.
- 3Comparing Google TPU units with Nvidia GPU shipments does not establish equivalent performance, market share, or delivered AI compute.
Scoring Rationale
The analyst projection points to hyperscaler-scale custom-accelerator and advanced-packaging demand in 2028. It is relevant to AI infrastructure planning, but neither Google nor Nvidia has confirmed the cited volumes and no TPU v9 performance or manufacturing allocation has been disclosed.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
Practice with real Ad Tech data
90 SQL & Python problems · 15 industry datasets
250 free problems · No credit card
See all Ad Tech problems

