Funding & Businessopenaiipoprediction markets
Polymarket Prices OpenAI IPO at 71¢
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8.6
OpenAI is priced on Polymarket at 71¢ for an IPO by Dec 31, 2026. An S-1 was confidentially filed May 22, and comparable IPO base rates put the probability at 87%, a 16 percentage-point edge versus Polymarket.
Scoring Rationale
An OpenAI IPO would significantly affect industry funding and valuations; the sizable gap between market pricing and base-rate estimates is noteworthy for traders and valuation observers.
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