Mastercard Forecasts APAC Growth Amid AI Shifts

Mastercard’s Economics Institute published its annual 2026 outlook on Dec. 9, projecting global real GDP growth easing to 3.1% in 2026 from an estimated 3.2% in 2025. The report highlights Asia‑Pacific’s resilience amid tariff-driven trade shifts and accelerating AI adoption—noting U.S. eCommerce share fell from 28% in 2024 to 24% by August—and flags travel and targeted fiscal support as key regional growth drivers.
Key Points
- 1Reports project global GDP growth slowing to 3.1% in 2026, down from 3.2% in 2025
- 2Highlights APAC resilience amid tariff-driven trade shifts and accelerating AI adoption across key markets
- 3Advises businesses to monitor demand trends, AI integration, and evolving travel-driven consumer spending
Scoring Rationale
Official Mastercard outlook provides actionable regional insights, but offers incremental updates rather than breakthrough findings.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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