Researchlattice modeldispersal kernelplant epidemiologyspatial epidemiology
Lattice Model Fits Citrus Disease Spread
9.3
Best and Cunniffe (published Feb 18, 2026) fit a lattice-based epidemiological model with local and global transmission to experimental data on Bahia bark scaling of citrus from north-eastern Brazil, and compared it to a dispersal-kernel approach. The model reproduces significant near-neighbour infections with rare long-range events, estimating similar epidemiological parameters and supporting lattice methods for predicting spread and optimizing control.
Key Points
- 1Fits lattice-based model to Bahia bark scaling data, estimating predominant near-neighbour transmission and rare long-range infections.
- 2Shows agreement with dispersal-kernel approach, validating model parameters and spatial transmission estimates.
- 3Enables use of lattice framework to predict spread and assess targeted control strategies.
Scoring Rationale
High methodological novelty and peer-reviewed validation; impact constrained by focus on a single pathosystem and regional data.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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