Forrester Predicts AI Eliminates 10.4 Million Jobs

Forrester Research vice president and principal analyst J.P. Gownder says in a blog that AI and automation could eliminate 6.1% of US jobs by 2030, roughly 10.4 million positions. The firm models a "real but modest" impact between 2025 and 2030, forecasting that AI will augment one in five roles and prompting employers to consider staff retraining.
Key Points
- 1Estimates 6.1% jobs lost by 2030, about 10.4 million US roles.
- 2Warns that GenAI and agentic AI now account for half of automation-driven losses.
- 3Advises employers to invest in retraining as one-in-five roles will be augmented.
Scoring Rationale
Strong industry-wide forecast and practical guidance; limited by single-source analyst projection and moderate methodological detail.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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