Candidate Smiles Significantly Affect Electoral Outcomes

A recent study analyzing 9,000 French local election manifestos (2022 and 2024) and a 1,000-person online experiment used AI to detect candidate smiles and measure voter responses. It finds non-smiling female candidates lose roughly two to three percentage points relative to non-smiling men, while smiling adds value for men. The results indicate asymmetric gendered penalties with implications for campaign imagery strategies.
Key Points
- 1Finds non-smiling female candidates lose about two to three percentage points versus non-smiling male counterparts.
- 2Highlights gender stereotypes create warmth-versus-authority tension, causing asymmetric electoral penalties for women.
- 3Advises campaigns to manage female candidate imagery carefully; non-smiling risks measurable vote losses.
Scoring Rationale
Provides strong empirical evidence quantifying gendered smile penalties, but remains preliminary and focused on French elections.
Sources
Public references used for this report.
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